Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.393188 9.848272 11.441883 13.311614 15.439785 17.781182 20.546402
2025-11-30 6.124062 8.136038 10.575785 13.725838 17.656182 22.367232 28.406718
2025-12-07 4.840937 7.102322 10.072994 14.200114 19.714494 26.749489 36.310590
2025-12-14 3.744984 6.002661 9.184606 13.892808 20.557149 29.508939 42.266676
2025-12-21 2.943171 5.117003 8.382612 13.493323 21.101482 31.784294 47.634670
2025-12-28 2.588761 4.820639 8.356800 14.151668 23.137239 36.208307 56.228094
2026-01-04 2.264701 4.501897 8.228717 14.602669 24.862243 40.272354 64.556813
2026-01-11 1.930543 4.096350 7.887493 14.647253 25.926152 43.392210 71.667132
2026-01-18 1.655396 3.741496 7.570596 14.672266 26.926465 46.446067 78.834946
2026-01-25 1.377054 3.323028 7.073167 14.311425 27.228591 48.388325 84.361772
2026-02-01 1.151639 2.964547 6.628312 13.976947 27.518219 50.294266 89.906657
2026-02-08 0.948815 2.610329 6.134555 13.481676 27.458413 51.586842 94.495450
2026-02-15 0.755140 2.243898 5.581527 12.849948 27.177679 52.634497 99.024738
2026-02-22 0.678198 2.145340 5.583944 13.335512 29.047367 57.594445 110.604933
2026-03-01 0.610093 2.052767 5.583908 13.814050 30.946383 62.741742 122.842364
2026-03-08 0.504646 1.829051 5.242539 13.516863 31.284109 65.076115 130.267406
2026-03-15 0.412871 1.615994 4.884661 13.127273 31.382141 66.952526 136.962242
2026-03-22 0.383065 1.585115 4.976313 13.770302 33.672935 73.113110 151.822354
2026-03-29 0.347569 1.525477 4.982435 14.210818 35.567956 78.626995 165.780285
2026-04-05 0.301668 1.415571 4.832897 14.254370 36.601391 82.515660 176.889475
2026-04-12 0.261627 1.313145 4.684504 14.278803 37.588498 86.365946 188.124216
2026-04-19 0.216787 1.175138 4.404604 13.926355 37.682282 88.404289 195.950752
2026-04-26 0.179870 1.053942 4.149284 13.599683 37.796915 90.479520 203.945767